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NCAA College Basketball

Rankings & Projections Summary

Highlights from our predictive power ratings and simulations of currently scheduled games.

Rank
Rating
Team Name
Proj W
Proj I
NCAA bid
Champs
1
22.3
Kansas(28-3)
28
3
100.0%
19.1%
2
21.1
Duke(25-6)
25
6
100.0%
12.9%
3
20.8
Gonzaga(31-2)
31
2
100.0%
12.5%
4
20.3
Michigan St(22-9)
22
9
100.0%
9.6%
5
18.1
Baylor(26-4)
26
4
100.0%
5.8%
6
17.1
Louisville(24-7)
24
7
100.0%
3.4%
7
17
Ohio State(21-10)
21
10
100.0%
2.6%
8
16.7
Dayton(29-2)
29
2
100.0%
3.4%
9
16.6
Arizona(21-11)
21
11
89.7%
1.9%
10
16.2
Maryland(24-7)
24
7
100.0%
2.3%
11
16
Florida St(26-5)
26
5
100.0%
2.6%
12
15.6
W Virginia(21-10)
21
10
100.0%
1.6%
13
15.3
Michigan(19-12)
19
12
99.9%
1.1%
14
15.3
Oregon(24-7)
24
7
100.0%
1.9%
15
15.3
San Diego St(30-2)
30
2
90.6%
1.5%
16
15.2
Villanova(24-7)
24
7
100.0%
1.8%
17
15.1
Creighton(24-7)
24
7
100.0%
1.8%
18
15.1
Kentucky(25-6)
25
6
100.0%
1.7%
19
14.9
Texas Tech(18-13)
18
13
75.6%
0.7%
20
14.8
Seton Hall(21-9)
21
9
100.0%
1.4%
21
14.6
BYU(24-8)
24
8
99.5%
0.9%
22
14.5
Houston(23-8)
23
8
93.0%
0.9%
23
14.1
Purdue(16-15)
16
15
37.7%
0.2%
24
14
Wisconsin(21-10)
21
10
100.0%
0.8%
25
14
Florida(19-12)
19
12
99.9%
0.7%
26
14
Iowa(20-11)
20
11
99.8%
0.6%
27
14
Penn State(21-10)
21
10
87.8%
0.6%
28
13.9
Butler(22-9)
22
9
100.0%
0.7%
29
13.6
Marquette(18-12)
18
12
99.6%
0.5%
30
13.5
Auburn(25-6)
25
6
100.0%
0.8%
31
13.4
Minnesota(15-16)
15
16
12.0%
0.1%
32
13.2
LSU(21-10)
21
10
98.3%
0.5%
33
13.2
Illinois(21-10)
21
10
97.5%
0.4%
34
13.2
Rutgers(20-11)
20
11
84.5%
0.3%
35
12.6
Indiana(20-12)
20
12
84.0%
0.2%
36
12.4
Colorado(21-11)
21
11
96.7%
0.3%
37
12.1
Arkansas(20-12)
20
12
17.9%
0.1%
38
12.1
Oklahoma(19-12)
19
12
100.0%
0.2%
39
11.9
Virginia(23-7)
23
7
100.0%
0.3%
40
11.8
Providence(19-12)
19
12
100.0%
0.3%
41
11.8
Utah State(26-8)
26
8
100.0%
0.2%
42
11.7
Wichita St(23-8)
23
8
24.1%
0.1%
43
11.3
Miss State(20-11)
20
11
40.8%
0.1%
44
11.2
NC State(20-12)
20
12
34.8%
0.1%
45
11.1
Cincinnati(20-10)
20
10
79.8%
0.1%
46
11.1
Xavier(19-13)
19
13
97.5%
0.1%
47
10.7
St Marys(26-8)
26
8
37.2%
0.0%
48
10.6
Memphis(21-10)
21
10
13.5%
0.0%
49
10.5
Alabama(16-15)
16
15
17.0%
0.0%
50
10.5
Syracuse(18-14)
18
14
3.9%
0.0%
51
10.5
Notre Dame(20-12)
20
12
3.7%
0.0%
52
10.3
Washington(15-17)
15
17
0.0%
0.0%
53
10.1
Oklahoma St(18-14)
18
14
93.9%
0.1%
54
10.1
Richmond(24-7)
24
7
27.1%
0.0%
55
9.9
Stanford(20-12)
20
12
0.0%
0.0%
56
9.9
N Carolina(14-19)
14
19
0.0%
0.0%
57
9.9
Tennessee(17-14)
17
14
37.6%
0.0%
58
9.9
USC(22-9)
22
9
37.9%
0.0%
59
9.7
E Tenn St(30-4)
30
4
100.0%
0.1%
60
9.7
GA Tech(17-14)
17
14
0.0%
0.0%
61
9.7
Arizona St(20-11)
20
11
89.2%
0.1%
62
9.4
Connecticut(19-12)
19
12
7.4%
0.0%
63
9.3
Texas(19-12)
19
12
94.9%
0.0%
64
9.1
VCU(18-13)
18
13
6.8%
0.0%
65
9.1
Clemson(16-15)
16
15
3.5%
0.0%
66
9
S Carolina(18-13)
18
13
3.0%
0.0%
67
8.9
Georgetown(15-17)
15
17
0.0%
0.0%
68
8.6
St Johns(17-15)
17
15
2.9%
0.0%
69
8.4
N Iowa(25-6)
25
6
0.0%
0.0%
70
8.4
Davidson(16-14)
16
14
6.5%
0.0%
71
8.3
Rhode Island(21-9)
21
9
24.1%
0.0%
72
8.2
Yale(23-7)
23
7
100.0%
0.0%
73
8.1
Missouri(15-16)
15
16
2.3%
0.0%
74
8
Iowa State(12-20)
12
20
0.0%
0.0%
75
8
TX Christian(16-16)
16
16
0.0%
0.0%
76
7.9
UCLA(19-12)
19
12
16.9%
0.0%
77
7.7
Oregon St(18-13)
18
13
3.3%
0.0%
78
7.6
Vermont(26-7)
26
7
93.7%
0.0%
79
7.4
Kansas St(11-21)
11
21
0.7%
0.0%
80
7.3
Georgia(16-16)
16
16
1.0%
0.0%
81
7.2
Furman(25-7)
25
7
0.0%
0.0%
82
7.2
Belmont(26-7)
26
7
100.0%
0.0%
83
7.1
NC-Grnsboro(23-9)
23
9
0.0%
0.0%
84
7.1
Mississippi(15-17)
15
17
0.0%
0.0%
85
7
San Fransco(22-12)
22
12
0.0%
0.0%
86
7
LA Tech(22-8)
22
8
28.2%
0.0%
87
6.9
VA Tech(16-16)
16
16
0.0%
0.0%
88
6.8
Boise State(20-12)
20
12
0.0%
0.0%
89
6.8
S Methodist(19-11)
19
11
2.3%
0.0%
90
6.6
Akron(24-7)
24
7
32.8%
0.0%
91
6.5
N Mex State(25-6)
25
6
67.2%
0.0%
92
6.5
Nevada(19-12)
19
12
0.0%
0.0%
93
6.5
Saint Louis(23-8)
23
8
6.4%
0.0%
94
6.2
Miami (FL)(15-16)
15
16
0.0%
0.0%
95
6.2
Tulsa(21-10)
21
10
3.9%
0.0%
96
6.1
Liberty(30-4)
30
4
100.0%
0.0%
97
6.1
Pittsburgh(16-17)
16
17
0.0%
0.0%
98
5.9
North Texas(20-11)
20
11
28.3%
0.0%
99
5.8
Wake Forest(13-18)
13
18
0.0%
0.0%
100
5.7
DePaul(16-16)
16
16
1.0%
0.0%
101
5.6
Duquesne(21-9)
21
9
3.2%
0.0%
102
5.4
Temple(14-17)
14
17
1.2%
0.0%
103
5.2
Utah(16-15)
16
15
0.0%
0.0%
104
5.2
Harvard(21-8)
21
8
0.0%
0.0%
105
4.9
Loyola-Chi(21-11)
21
11
0.0%
0.0%
106
4.8
W Kentucky(20-10)
20
10
19.0%
0.0%
107
4.8
Texas A&M(16-14)
16
14
0.5%
0.0%
108
4.8
N Colorado(22-9)
22
9
32.6%
0.0%
109
4.7
Texas State(21-11)
21
11
38.3%
0.0%
110
4.7
UNLV(17-15)
17
15
0.0%
0.0%
111
4.6
S Florida(14-17)
14
17
1.2%
0.0%
112
4.4
Ball State(18-13)
18
13
16.5%
0.0%
113
4.3
Bradley(23-11)
23
11
100.0%
0.0%
114
4.3
Hofstra(26-8)
26
8
100.0%
0.0%
115
4.2
UC Irvine(21-11)
21
11
48.1%
0.0%
116
4.2
Central FL(16-14)
16
14
1.0%
0.0%
117
3.9
Colorado St(20-12)
20
12
0.0%
0.0%
118
3.9
Murray St(23-9)
23
9
0.0%
0.0%
119
3.8
Wright State(25-7)
25
7
0.0%
0.0%
120
3.7
Northwestern(8-23)
8
23
0.0%
0.0%
121
3.6
Kent State(20-12)
20
12
13.3%
0.0%
122
3.5
Wash State(16-16)
16
16
1.8%
0.0%
123
3.4
Colgate(25-9)
25
9
0.0%
0.0%
124
3.4
Ste F Austin(28-3)
28
3
52.7%
0.0%
125
3.1
Missouri St(16-17)
16
17
0.0%
0.0%
126
3
Georgia St(19-13)
19
13
0.0%
0.0%
127
2.9
N Dakota St(25-8)
25
8
100.0%
0.0%
128
2.9
St Bonavent(19-12)
19
12
1.0%
0.0%
129
2.8
Toledo(17-15)
17
15
12.5%
0.0%
130
2.6
U Penn(16-11)
16
11
0.0%
0.0%
131
2.5
GA Southern(20-13)
20
13
25.1%
0.0%
132
2.4
New Mexico(19-14)
19
14
0.0%
0.0%
133
2.3
N Kentucky(23-9)
23
9
100.0%
0.0%
134
2.3
TX-Arlington(14-18)
14
18
0.0%
0.0%
135
2.3
E Washingtn(23-8)
23
8
22.7%
0.0%
136
2.3
Indiana St(18-12)
18
12
0.0%
0.0%
137
2.2
Winthrop(24-10)
24
10
100.0%
0.0%
138
2.2
Buffalo(20-12)
20
12
0.0%
0.0%
139
2.2
Wofford(19-16)
19
16
0.0%
0.0%
140
2.1
S Dakota St(22-10)
22
10
0.0%
0.0%
141
2
Oral Roberts(17-14)
17
14
0.0%
0.0%
142
2
Northeastrn(17-16)
17
16
0.0%
0.0%
143
1.9
Pepperdine(16-16)
16
16
0.0%
0.0%
144
1.9
Nebraska(7-25)
7
25
0.0%
0.0%
145
1.9
Pacific(23-10)
23
10
0.0%
0.0%
146
1.8
Vanderbilt(11-21)
11
21
0.0%
0.0%
147
1.8
AR Lit Rock(21-10)
21
10
21.1%
0.0%
148
1.7
Fresno St(11-19)
11
19
0.0%
0.0%
149
1.5
Marshall(17-15)
17
15
6.1%
0.0%
150
1.3
Chattanooga(20-13)
20
13
0.0%
0.0%
151
1.3
California(14-18)
14
18
0.9%
0.0%
152
1.3
Boston Col(13-19)
13
19
0.0%
0.0%
153
1.1
W Carolina(19-12)
19
12
0.0%
0.0%
154
1
Valparaiso(19-16)
19
16
0.0%
0.0%
155
1
Col Charlestn(17-14)
17
14
0.0%
0.0%
156
0.9
Bowling Grn(21-10)
21
10
6.8%
0.0%
157
0.8
Princeton(14-13)
14
13
0.0%
0.0%
158
0.7
Santa Clara(20-13)
20
13
0.0%
0.0%
159
0.7
N Florida(21-12)
21
12
0.0%
0.0%
160
0.6
Towson(19-13)
19
13
0.0%
0.0%
161
0.6
Ohio(17-15)
17
15
6.4%
0.0%
162
0.5
S Alabama(20-11)
20
11
15.5%
0.0%
163
0.5
Drake(20-14)
20
14
0.0%
0.0%
164
0.5
Austin Peay(21-12)
21
12
0.0%
0.0%
165
0.5
N Illinois(18-13)
18
13
8.3%
0.0%
166
0.5
Geo Mason(17-15)
17
15
0.3%
0.0%
167
0.4
Florida Intl(19-13)
19
13
7.0%
0.0%
168
0.1
Old Dominion(13-19)
13
19
0.0%
0.0%
169
0
UCSB(21-10)
21
10
17.3%
0.0%
170
0
S Utah(17-15)
17
15
9.6%
0.0%
171
-0.1
Boston U(21-13)
21
13
100.0%
0.0%
172
-0.1
Montana(18-13)
18
13
14.9%
0.0%
173
-0.2
U Mass(14-17)
14
17
0.1%
0.0%
174
-0.2
Siena(20-10)
20
10
37.1%
0.0%
175
-0.3
South Dakota(20-12)
20
12
0.0%
0.0%
176
-0.3
Tulane(12-18)
12
18
0.1%
0.0%
177
-0.3
Radford(21-11)
21
11
0.0%
0.0%
178
-0.5
Stony Brook(20-13)
20
13
0.0%
0.0%
179
-0.6
App State(18-15)
18
15
0.0%
0.0%
180
-0.6
Charlotte(16-13)
16
13
5.0%
0.0%
181
-0.6
S Illinois(16-16)
16
16
0.0%
0.0%
182
-0.6
Coastal Car(16-17)
16
17
0.0%
0.0%
183
-0.7
UAB(19-13)
19
13
3.4%
0.0%
184
-0.8
California Baptist(21-10)
21
10
0.0%
0.0%
185
-0.8
St Fran (PA)(22-10)
22
10
0.0%
0.0%
186
-0.8
Delaware(22-11)
22
11
0.0%
0.0%
187
-1
La Salle(15-15)
15
15
0.1%
0.0%
188
-1.2
TX El Paso(17-15)
17
15
0.0%
0.0%
189
-1.2
Wm & Mary(21-11)
21
11
0.0%
0.0%
190
-1.3
Rider(18-12)
18
12
22.2%
0.0%
191
-1.5
Central Mich(14-18)
14
18
0.0%
0.0%
192
-1.6
Mercer(17-15)
17
15
0.0%
0.0%
193
-1.6
Portland St(18-14)
18
14
9.2%
0.0%
194
-1.7
Fla Atlantic(17-15)
17
15
3.1%
0.0%
195
-1.7
Abl Christian(20-11)
20
11
20.9%
0.0%
196
-1.8
Dartmouth(12-17)
12
17
0.0%
0.0%
197
-1.8
Seattle(14-15)
14
15
11.0%
0.0%
198
-2
Hawaii(17-13)
17
13
10.3%
0.0%
199
-2
E Michigan(16-16)
16
16
0.0%
0.0%
200
-2.1
TX-San Ant(13-19)
13
19
0.0%
0.0%
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